There are three core questions underlying intelligence reports. Answering these questions creates concise, direct communication whilst retaining the relevance to the original observation and audience.
Tag: Operational Resilience
On Creating a Unified Sector – pt.1
Public sector concepts of how organisations help mitigate systemic risk - in this example, cyber defence for their sector - are difficult to convey. Since organisational interpretations of the concept vary, complementary implementation challenges abound; usually ending with highly glossed fanfare masking minimal results. Here is the first set of considerations for organisations to become part of the solution.
Changing Cyber Landscape – WannaCry/NotPetya/Costa Rica
In the shadow of Ukraine/Russia, a greater threat to our digital world unfolds in Costa Rica. Looking at prior shifts in the cyber threat landscape helps clearly define the current pebble and why the avalanche it creates will cause greater issues to the global ecosystem.
Operational Resilience and the First Rule
The First Rule and Past Tense are basic mental frameworks to help us understand life via two sides of the same coin - mortality. On the one hand is a biological imperative to perpetuate life as we know it. The other holds recognition of needs beyond the self, when we are taken out of the equation. Together these two offer useful perspective on decision-making. First Rule is the default consideration for operational resilience.
Cyber Impacts on Entrance/Exit
Organisations entering or exiting a market/ region have a number of constraints and obstacles to navigate. Often overlooked are ones related to cyber - both from legal and dependency perspectives. Here is what to consider.
On Cypartan’s Dilemma
In our dynamic cyber threat landscape, info/ cybersec personnel engage everyday with enemies who seek to harm those we wish to protect. Few in number against staggering odds, outmanned and outgunned with limited resources, we must be right one-hundred percent of the time, whilst the enemy needs only to be right once. This is the Cypartan Dilemma.
Messaging, Hanlon’s Razor, and the 95% Rule
Communication breakdowns are not only common, but expected. Whilst there are many reasons, our internal doubt often attributes these to ill intent of the other party. This post explores two often more accurate considerations of human nature in lieu of malice - Hanlon's Razor and The 95% Rule.
On Abssandra
Absent Cassandra (Abssandra) is the outcome of knowing there is a question or issue we are required to solve - with no effective internal or external means or understanding to base our plans and programs on. The dangers we don't often admit are framed within the post.
On Smoking Guns, Indicators, and Warnings
Predictive intelligence is a small, resource-expensive analysis component - highly sought after by leadership and decision-makers who often lack understanding of the ask. This post presents initial assessment of predictive analysis requirements and considerations as a precursor to programme development.
Pebble Risks
Every major crisis faced today is like an oncoming avalanche - but started as a pebble-sized risk overlooked. How pebble risks grow exponentially over time and how to effectively assess/preempt/mitigate are keys for effective operational resilience.
Maelstrom Advantage 